Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.007356 0.008273 0.009277 0.010458 0.011815 0.013327 0.015147
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.005883 0.007120 0.008592 0.010483 0.012865 0.015786 0.019674
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004977 0.006313 0.007990 0.010272 0.013331 0.017334 0.023051
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004497 0.005928 0.007807 0.010490 0.014279 0.019526 0.027495
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004052 0.005515 0.007510 0.010476 0.014856 0.021223 0.031432
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003561 0.004976 0.006964 0.010022 0.014712 0.021814 0.033743
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003266 0.004678 0.006721 0.009965 0.015126 0.023261 0.037565
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003152 0.004629 0.006830 0.010441 0.016405 0.026206 0.044288
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002853 0.004270 0.006432 0.010071 0.016260 0.026772 0.046926
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002618 0.003990 0.006128 0.009818 0.016271 0.027585 0.050110
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002467 0.003830 0.006000 0.009838 0.016746 0.029263 0.055174
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002410 0.003814 0.006101 0.010256 0.017971 0.032456 0.063757
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002243 0.003610 0.005882 0.010105 0.018163 0.033773 0.068821
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002123 0.003476 0.005771 0.010140 0.018715 0.035889 0.076042
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001978 0.003286 0.005545 0.009936 0.018771 0.036983 0.081124
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001908 0.003223 0.005539 0.010146 0.019678 0.039987 0.091291
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001813 0.003106 0.005425 0.010132 0.020116 0.042029 0.099491
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001669 0.002892 0.005113 0.009695 0.019603 0.041856 0.101957
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001587 0.002784 0.004995 0.009640 0.019917 0.043639 0.110001
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001573 0.002803 0.005119 0.010099 0.021430 0.048502 0.127676
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001465 0.002637 0.004870 0.009743 0.021029 0.048590 0.131539
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001378 0.002506 0.004681 0.009498 0.020866 0.049263 0.137325
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001326 0.002438 0.004614 0.009518 0.021338 0.051654 0.149020